FK Pardubice 1-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 36%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.49/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.10
+60% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
10.06.2020 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK2
14.09.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
22.06.2019 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice and Dukla Prag shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FK Pardubice at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 42% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FK Pardubice and 0.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag?

FK Pardubice 1-1 Dukla Prag in the Friendlies on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Pardubice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 42%, draw 27%, Dukla Prag 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Pardubice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Pardubice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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