Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Jul 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
0-1 HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.91
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.1
X/1
17%
3.99
X/2
6%
12.4
X/X
12%
7.2
2/1
8%
19.25
2/2
14%
8.31
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
2.10/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.74
+11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
455 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.0 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.73 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
421 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
18.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 6-1 HT 1-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
03.05.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-3 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
26.03.2023 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
16.07.2022 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
18.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-1
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.39 xG 2.38
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
477 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
41 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 64% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 36%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 1.39 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.83 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 54%, draw 22%, Sagan Tosu 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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