Sandefjord 1-2 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 Jul 2024

Sandefjord
1-2 HT 0-2
Tromsö
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sandefjord vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
14%
6.41
X/X
17%
4.8
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.32
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.53/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.30
+30% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.1 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sandefjord vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tromsö
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
16.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.07.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
26.06.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.08.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
24.05.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-3 HT 0-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR

Sandefjord 1-2 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-2
AWAY Tromsö
1.38 xG 2.06
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
559 Passes 232
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö squeezed past Sandefjord 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sandefjord had 67% of the ball to Tromsö's 33%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.38 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandefjord and 1.33 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Tromsö?

Sandefjord 1-2 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 38%, draw 27%, Tromsö 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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