Kings Hammer 1-1 Toledo Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Hammer EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Toledo Villa EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Hammer
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Toledo Villa
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.07.2023 Kings Hammer Kings Hammer 1-2 HT 1-1 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa USL2
04.06.2023 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa 2-2 HT 2-2 Kings Hammer Kings Hammer USL2
02.07.2022 Kings Hammer Kings Hammer 5-1 HT 3-1 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa USL2
POST-MATCH Kings Hammer vs Toledo Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Hammer and Toledo Villa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Toledo Villa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kings Hammer and 1.67 for Toledo Villa.

What was the final score of Kings Hammer vs Toledo Villa?

Kings Hammer 1-1 Toledo Villa in the USA - USL League 2 on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Hammer vs Toledo Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toledo Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kings Hammer 32%, draw 27%, Toledo Villa 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toledo Villa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toledo Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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