Spokane Velocity 1-1 Texoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Texoma EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.78/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
-55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.5
16.3 Crosses 9.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Texoma
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.03 xG 0.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
365 Passes 243
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 4-1 HT 1-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
1-1
AWAY Texoma
0.69 xG 0.87
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
435 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Texoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity and Texoma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Spokane Velocity carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 61% of the ball to Texoma's 39%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.69 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Texoma?

Spokane Velocity 1-1 Texoma in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Texoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 60%, draw 21%, Texoma 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Over 2.5
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