Huachipato 1-2 Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.86
Over
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Concepcion EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.70/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.77
+29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 81%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Concepcion
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2026 Concepcion Concepcion 3-2 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİK
24.05.2026 Concepcion Concepcion 2-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
05.05.2026 Concepcion Concepcion 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİLK
21.03.2026 Huachipato Huachipato 2-2 HT 1-1 Concepcion Concepcion ŞİLİLK
11.07.2025 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 0-0 Concepcion Concepcion ŞİLİK
03.07.2025 Concepcion Concepcion 1-1 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİK
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concepcion edged past Huachipato 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Huachipato at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Huachipato and 1.33 for Concepcion.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Concepcion?

Huachipato 1-2 Concepcion in the Chile - Cup on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 44%, draw 28%, Concepcion 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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