Athletic Club Boise 1-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club Boise EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 31%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +22%
1.20/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.02
+19% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +126%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.5 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club Boise
1-2
AWAY One Knoxville
2.07 xG 0.51
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
423 Passes 261
22 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Athletic Club Boise 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club Boise at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.07 to 0.51 — on chances, Athletic Club Boise could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville?

Athletic Club Boise 1-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club Boise vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club Boise win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club Boise 51%, draw 24%, One Knoxville 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Club Boise), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club Boise) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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