Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
0.91/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.46
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.1 Crosses 34.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Teplice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
13.08.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
22.04.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
30.10.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.02.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
26.09.2021 Teplice Teplice 0-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-1
AWAY Teplice
0.69 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
267 Passes 215
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc squeezed past Teplice 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Sigma Olomouc made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 54% of the ball to Teplice's 46%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Teplice.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?

Sigma Olomouc 2-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 35%, draw 29%, Teplice 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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