Hamilton 0-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Aug 2024

Hamilton
0-2 HT 0-1
Ayr United
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Hamilton vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.42
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
8%
6.45
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.96
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
0.82/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.85
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Hamilton vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-2 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
07.01.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
11.11.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 2-3 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
13.08.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
01.04.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
29.01.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United saw off Hamilton 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamilton and 1.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Ayr United?

Hamilton 0-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 29%, draw 27%, Ayr United 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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