Oskarshamns AIK 1-1 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 50%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
0.95/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.30
-24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tvaaker
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Tvaaker Tvaaker 0-1 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
02.09.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 0-4 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
07.04.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 1-2 HT 0-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
08.10.2022 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
07.05.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 3-0 HT 2-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
20.11.2021 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
1-1
AWAY Tvaaker
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK and Tvaaker shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Tvaaker at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 44% of the ball to Tvaaker's 56%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oskarshamns AIK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oskarshamns AIK and 1.33 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs Tvaaker?

Oskarshamns AIK 1-1 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 29%, draw 26%, Tvaaker 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tvaaker), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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