EPS 5-1 Vaajakoski — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.08 — our 22% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.1pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EPS EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaajakoski EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EPS
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vaajakoski
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.05.2024 Vaajakoski Vaajakoski 0-1 HT 0-1 EPS EPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EPS
5-1
AWAY Vaajakoski
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH EPS vs Vaajakoski
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EPS swept aside Vaajakoski 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had EPS as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EPS had 35% of the ball to Vaajakoski's 65%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of EPS vs Vaajakoski?

EPS 5-1 Vaajakoski in the FİN3 on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EPS vs Vaajakoski?

Before kick-off our model rated a EPS win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split EPS 52%, draw 25%, Vaajakoski 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EPS), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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