Orlando Pirates 3-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 3 Aug 2024

Orlando Pirates
3-1 HT 1-0
SuperSport United
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - Cup – 2024/2025

Orlando Pirates vs SuperSport United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orlando Pirates v SuperSport United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.31/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.02
+57% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
17.6 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Orlando Pirates vs SuperSport United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
348 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
18.03.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
21.08.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
30.05.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
16.03.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 2-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
24.02.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL

Orlando Pirates 3-1 SuperSport United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
3-1
AWAY SuperSport United
3.05 xG 2.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
450 Passes 228
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates beat SuperSport United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 62% of the ball to SuperSport United's 38%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 3.05 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.33 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs SuperSport United?

Orlando Pirates 3-1 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Cup on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 52%, draw 28%, SuperSport United 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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