Pacific FC 1-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

Pacific FC
1-1 HT 1-1
York United
📅03/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Pacific FC vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pacific FC v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.57/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.34
-30% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.9 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Pacific FC vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY York United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.06.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
05.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
12.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
18.09.2023 York United York United 1-4 HT 0-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
15.07.2023 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
18.06.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL

Pacific FC 1-1 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-1
AWAY York United
0.53 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
225 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC and York United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pacific FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pacific FC had 38% of the ball to York United's 62%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.53 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pacific FC and 0.50 for York United.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs York United?

Pacific FC 1-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 45%, draw 26%, York United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pacific FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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