Surnadal 5-4 Verdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surnadal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Verdal EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Surnadal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Verdal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
08.06.2024 Verdal Verdal 5-0 HT 3-0 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Surnadal
5-4
AWAY Verdal
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Surnadal vs Verdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surnadal nicked a narrow win over Verdal 5-4. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Surnadal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Surnadal had 63% of the ball to Verdal's 37%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Surnadal vs Verdal?

Surnadal 5-4 Verdal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surnadal vs Verdal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Surnadal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Surnadal 40%, draw 24%, Verdal 36%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Surnadal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Surnadal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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