SSC Farul 2-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -12%
1.86/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.03
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-3 HT 0-3 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
30.07.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-3 HT 1-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
2-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul beat CSMS Iaşi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SSC Farul as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SSC Farul had 48% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SSC Farul and 2.50 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs CSMS Iaşi?

SSC Farul 2-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 45%, draw 26%, CSMS Iaşi 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Farul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →