Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.28/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.51
-20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chayka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
09.09.2020 Chayka Chayka 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
23.10.2019 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Chayka
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow and Chayka shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 57% of the ball to Chayka's 43%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.33 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka?

Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 46%, draw 32%, Chayka 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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