Povazska Bystrica 3-1 Malzenice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malzenice EU Bookmakers 29%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.41/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.07
-15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Povazska Bystrica
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Malzenice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Malzenice Malzenice 0-0 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
05.08.2023 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 4-1 HT 0-1 Malzenice Malzenice SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Povazska Bystrica
3-1
AWAY Malzenice
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Povazska Bystrica vs Malzenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Povazska Bystrica saw off Malzenice 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Povazska Bystrica as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Povazska Bystrica had 55% of the ball to Malzenice's 45%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Povazska Bystrica had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Povazska Bystrica and 0.50 for Malzenice.

What was the final score of Povazska Bystrica vs Malzenice?

Povazska Bystrica 3-1 Malzenice in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Povazska Bystrica vs Malzenice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Povazska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Povazska Bystrica 50%, draw 21%, Malzenice 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Povazska Bystrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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