Sunnersta 6-4 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.1pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunnersta EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.99/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.85
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunnersta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacka Iliria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 3-2 HT 1-2 Sunnersta İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunnersta
6-4
AWAY Nacka Iliria
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunnersta vs Nacka Iliria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunnersta saw off Nacka Iliria 6-4. Half-time: 2-1. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sunnersta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sunnersta had 46% of the ball to Nacka Iliria's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Sunnersta vs Nacka Iliria?

Sunnersta 6-4 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunnersta vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunnersta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sunnersta 39%, draw 22%, Nacka Iliria 39%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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