Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 Niva Dolbizno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.69/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+0% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 4
10.09.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 HT 0-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1-0
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Niva Dolbizno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev squeezed past Niva Dolbizno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dnepr Mogilev as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 51% of the ball to Niva Dolbizno's 49%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Niva Dolbizno?

Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 Niva Dolbizno in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Niva Dolbizno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 48%, draw 25%, Niva Dolbizno 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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