Aurora 1-1 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -25%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 143 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-1
AWAY Marquense
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Marquense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aurora at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aurora had 51% of the ball to Marquense's 49%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Marquense?

Aurora 1-1 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aurora 46%, draw 30%, Marquense 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aurora), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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