York City vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
York City
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
York City
İBSL
1-1
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İBSL
3-1
HT 0-1
York City
İBSL
2-0
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
İBSL
York City 0-2 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town beat York City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was York City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.80 to 2.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York City and 1.33 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of York City vs Crawley Town?
York City 0-2 Crawley Town in the England - League Cup on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split York City 47%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.