The New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Sep 2024

The New Saints
2-0 HT 0-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
5.39
Over 2.5
65%
1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.95
No
63%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
16.45
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
40%
3.21
4-5 Goals
35%
2.29
6+ Goals
9%
2.48
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.21 — our 40% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
84%
-10.6pp
21%
Draw
8%
+12.6pp
6%
Away Win
8%
-2.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
16%
+19.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
84%
-19.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
30%
+7.0pp
63%
BTTS No
70%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The New Saints v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
3.61/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.65
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
517 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
72% Ball Possession 28%
26 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-3 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.12.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 11-0 HT 4-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
30.08.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
09.11.2021 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.10.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL

The New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
2-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
79% Ball Possession 21%
24 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints beat Aberystwyth Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, The New Saints had 79% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 21%, shots finished 24-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.33 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town?

The New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 74%, draw 21%, Aberystwyth Town 6%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →