İran U23 4-0 Hong Kong U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-7.0pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.9pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran U23 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong U23 EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.10/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hong Kong U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
77% Ball Possession 23%
26 Total Shots 0
10 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.10.2023 İran U23 İran U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong U23 Hong Kong U23 AFCAG
06.09.2023 İran U23 İran U23 3-0 Hong Kong U23 Hong Kong U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran U23
4-0
AWAY Hong Kong U23
77% Ball Possession 23%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran U23 ran out comfortable winners over Hong Kong U23 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İran U23 as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, İran U23 had 77% of the ball to Hong Kong U23's 23%, shots finished 25-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İran U23 and 0.50 for Hong Kong U23.

What was the final score of İran U23 vs Hong Kong U23?

İran U23 4-0 Hong Kong U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran U23 vs Hong Kong U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split İran U23 76%, draw 15%, Hong Kong U23 9%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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