Heino 3-3 Groene Ster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
24%
+11.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.7pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.0pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heino EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Groene Ster EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heino
3-3
AWAY Groene Ster
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heino vs Groene Ster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heino and Groene Ster shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Groene Ster at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Heino had 47% of the ball to Groene Ster's 53%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Heino vs Groene Ster?

Heino 3-3 Groene Ster in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heino vs Groene Ster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Groene Ster win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Heino 36%, draw 22%, Groene Ster 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groene Ster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groene Ster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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