03/09/2025
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
1461 Trabzon FK vs Serhat Ardahan Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
85%
11%
Draw
9%
11%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1461 Trabzon FK v Serhat Ardahan — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
1461 Trabzon FK
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Serhat Ardahan
EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-12% /
-12%
2.58/1.11
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.08/2.29
+0%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-91%
/
+11%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
4
563 · 90%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
213 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.7
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
1461 Trabzon FK vs Serhat Ardahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
1461 Trabzon FK swept aside Serhat Ardahan 4-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 1461 Trabzon FK as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serhat Ardahan?
1461 Trabzon FK 4-0 Serhat Ardahan in the Turkey - Cup on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serhat Ardahan?
Before kick-off our model rated a 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 78%, draw 11%, Serhat Ardahan 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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TÜK
More Turkey - Cup
3 Sep 2025