Kestel Belediyespor 1-1 Uşak Spor A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.1pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kestel Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Uşak Spor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kestel Belediyespor
1-1
AWAY Uşak Spor A.Ş.
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kestel Belediyespor vs Uşak Spor A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kestel Belediyespor and Uşak Spor A.Ş. shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kestel Belediyespor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kestel Belediyespor had 55% of the ball to Uşak Spor A.Ş.'s 45%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Kestel Belediyespor vs Uşak Spor A.Ş.?

Kestel Belediyespor 1-1 Uşak Spor A.Ş. in the Turkey - Cup on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kestel Belediyespor vs Uşak Spor A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kestel Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kestel Belediyespor 44%, draw 28%, Uşak Spor A.Ş. 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kestel Belediyespor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kestel Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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