Varbergs GIF 2-1 Lindome GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.53
Draw
34%
4.19
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
61%
-23.5pp
34%
Draw
21%
+13.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lindome GIF EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.20
-9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +69%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
412 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lindome GIF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 3-0 HT 2-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
15.09.2023 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF 2-0 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
20.05.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Lindome GIF Lindome GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
2-1
AWAY Lindome GIF
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Lindome GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF edged past Lindome GIF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 29% — and on the day Varbergs GIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 61% of the ball to Lindome GIF's 39%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lindome GIF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.67 for Lindome GIF.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Lindome GIF?

Varbergs GIF 2-1 Lindome GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Lindome GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 38%, draw 34%, Lindome GIF 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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