Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.45/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.96
-44% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 84%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
14.0 Crosses 20.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.39
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
231 Passes 478
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
14.09.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.15 xG 0.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
273 Passes 474
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 39% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 61%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.15 to 0.62 — on chances, Al Akhdoud could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.50 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 27%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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