Worcester City 2-2 Rugby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Oct 2025

Worcester City
2-2 HT 2-1
Rugby
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Worcester City vs Rugby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Worcester City v Rugby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worcester City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rugby EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Worcester City 2-2 Rugby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worcester City
2-2
AWAY Rugby
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Worcester City vs Rugby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worcester City and Rugby couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Worcester City carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Worcester City had 55% of the ball to Rugby's 45%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Worcester City vs Rugby?

Worcester City 2-2 Rugby in the England - FA Cup on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worcester City vs Rugby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worcester City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Worcester City 59%, draw 23%, Rugby 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worcester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worcester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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