Aarau 1-2 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 3 Oct 2025

Aarau
1-2 HT 0-1
Yverdon
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2025/2026

Aarau vs Yverdon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.97
Over Pick
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.64
No
45%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.51
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.13
6+
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Aarau v Yverdon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon The Market 30%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -10%
1.56/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.32
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Aarau vs Yverdon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yverdon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.05.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
10.02.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
04.11.2022 Aarau Aarau 3-2 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
30.09.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
06.05.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 0-4 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.03.2022 Aarau Aarau 0-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2

Aarau 1-2 Yverdon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-2
AWAY Yverdon
1.33 xG 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Aarau vs Yverdon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Yverdon nicked a narrow win over Aarau 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Yverdon saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.33 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Aarau against 1.50 for Yverdon.

Aarau vs Yverdon Result & Final Score

Aarau 1-2 Yverdon in the Switzerland Challenge League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aarau vs Yverdon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarau 49%, draw 24%, Yverdon 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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