Pianese 2-1 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.51
2-3
42%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.24
6+
10%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Livorno The Market 37%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.84
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.31
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
2-1
AWAY Livorno
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Pianese vs Livorno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pianese nicked a narrow win over Livorno 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Pianese had 52% of the ball to Livorno's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

Pianese vs Livorno Result & Final Score

Pianese 2-1 Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pianese vs Livorno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pianese 38%, draw 29%, Livorno 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
3 Oct 2025
21:30 Rimini vs Arezzo Analysis →
21:30 US Latina vs Benevento Analysis →