Greifswalder SV 1-1 BFC Preussen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Preussen EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.92/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs BFC Preussen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV and BFC Preussen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs BFC Preussen?

Greifswalder SV 1-1 BFC Preussen in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs BFC Preussen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 41%, draw 24%, BFC Preussen 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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