Zira 2-2 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
26%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.46/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
+29% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.04.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-4 HT 2-1 Zira Zira AZERS
10.02.2025 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
15.09.2024 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
20.04.2024 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.02.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira and Neftçi PFK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zira and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Zira 2-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zira 42%, draw 33%, Neftçi PFK 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 Oct 2025
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