Ukrayna U20 2-1 Paraguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 3 Oct 2025

Ukrayna U20
2-1 HT 0-0
Paraguay U20
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup U20 – 2025

Ukrayna U20 vs Paraguay U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
44%
2.42
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.09
No
42%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
1.93
2-3 Goals
54%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
6.17
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.0pp
44%
Draw
40%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
44%
+14.3pp
42%
BTTS No
56%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna U20 v Paraguay U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.66/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+77% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.5 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Ukrayna U20 2-1 Paraguay U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna U20
2-1
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.57 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
293 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ukrayna U20 vs Paraguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U20 nicked a narrow win over Paraguay U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Ukrayna U20 had 49% of the ball to Paraguay U20's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Ukrayna U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Ukrayna U20 2-1 Paraguay U20 in the World Cup U20 on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna U20 29%, draw 44%, Paraguay U20 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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