Slovacko 1-0 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.54/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.88
+11% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.0 Crosses 19.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 2.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
232 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-2 HT 2-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
12.11.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-4 HT 1-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
06.05.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-2 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
19.02.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
31.08.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 2-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
05.12.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
1-0
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.86 xG 0.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
159 Passes 438
58% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovacko squeezed past Viktoria Plzen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slovacko had 32% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 68%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.86 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Slovacko and 2.00 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs Viktoria Plzen?

Slovacko 1-0 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 31%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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