Sampdoria (K) 1-5 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.09
No
44%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
5%
+17.0pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.2pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-20.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.55/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.35
-47% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 85%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
17.5 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.29 xG 2.33
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 13
118 Passes 585
48% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 43
3 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-5
AWAY Roma (K)
0.41 xG 1.76
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 12
177 Passes 510
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 41
5 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sampdoria (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 33% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 67%, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 0.41 to 1.76.

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Roma (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-5 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 22%, draw 15%, Roma (K) 63%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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