Quilmes 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.25
Over 2.5
24%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.81
No
67%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.3pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
76%
Under 2.5
76%
-0.1pp
24%
Over 2.5
24%
+0.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.1pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.77
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
11.04.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
16.02.2020 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 2-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes saw off Defensores De Belgrano 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.50 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Quilmes 2-0 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 34%, draw 38%, Defensores De Belgrano 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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