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Melbourne City (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne City (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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1-0
HT 0-0
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Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
5-2
HT 2-0
Melbourne City (K)
AVUSTW
Melbourne City (K) 5-2 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) ran out comfortable winners over Perth Glory (K) 5-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 68% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 32%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.52 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 2.00 for Perth Glory (K).
What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Melbourne City (K) 5-2 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 58%, draw 30%, Perth Glory (K) 11%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.