Oued Akbou 1-2 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.6
No
72%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
45%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
11%
6.6
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 45% vs market 42.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.3pp
28%
BTTS Yes
34%
-6.0pp
72%
BTTS No
66%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-30% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oued Akbou
1-2
AWAY Mostaganem
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oued Akbou vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem edged past Oued Akbou 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Oued Akbou carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oued Akbou had 55% of the ball to Mostaganem's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Oued Akbou vs Mostaganem?

Oued Akbou 1-2 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oued Akbou vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oued Akbou win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Oued Akbou 55%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oued Akbou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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