Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.98/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-0
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis squeezed past Arba Minch Kenema 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Kedus Giorgis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 50% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 50%, shots finished 4-4.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 38%, draw 32%, Arba Minch Kenema 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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