Marumo Gallants 1-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
51%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.66
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
51%
Away Win
42%
+8.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.0pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
367 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
11.01.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
06.08.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
06.03.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
27.10.2021 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
21.02.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants edged past Stellenbosch FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marumo Gallants and 0.50 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC?

Marumo Gallants 1-0 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - League Cup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 25%, draw 24%, Stellenbosch FC 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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