Asante Kotoko 0-1 Heart of Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
55%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asante Kotoko EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.04/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asante Kotoko
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Heart of Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2024 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 1-0 Asante Kotoko Asante Kotoko GANA
POST-MATCH Asante Kotoko vs Heart of Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heart of Lions squeezed past Asante Kotoko 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Asante Kotoko at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Asante Kotoko vs Heart of Lions?

Asante Kotoko 0-1 Heart of Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asante Kotoko vs Heart of Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asante Kotoko win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Asante Kotoko 41%, draw 27%, Heart of Lions 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asante Kotoko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asante Kotoko) ✓ Under 2.5
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