Hong Kong Rangers 1-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 57%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.99/3.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.16
+6% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
13.03.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-4 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
29.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HONFK
22.04.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
28.01.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-1 HT 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
22.05.2021 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-2 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
POST-MATCH Hong Kong Rangers vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers and Southern District RSA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Southern District RSA at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hong Kong Rangers and 1.67 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong Rangers vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong Rangers 1-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong Rangers vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong Rangers 25%, draw 26%, Southern District RSA 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southern District RSA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
3 Nov 2024
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