Ergene Velimeşe 1-0 Karşıyaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
66%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Karşıyaka win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+8.7pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
66%
Away Win
74%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.1pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Karşıyaka EU Bookmakers 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
185 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ergene Velimeşe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Karşıyaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.02.2024 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 2-2 HT 1-0 Karşıyaka Karşıyaka S3-2
POST-MATCH Ergene Velimeşe vs Karşıyaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ergene Velimeşe edged past Karşıyaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Karşıyaka carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ergene Velimeşe vs Karşıyaka?

Ergene Velimeşe 1-0 Karşıyaka in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergene Velimeşe vs Karşıyaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karşıyaka win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ergene Velimeşe 17%, draw 18%, Karşıyaka 66%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Karşıyaka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karşıyaka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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