Triglav 1-0 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.96/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.30
+26% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 3-1 HT 3-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
29.10.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
12.03.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav edged past Jadran Dekani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jadran Dekani led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Triglav and 1.33 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Jadran Dekani?

Triglav 1-0 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Triglav 57%, draw 18%, Jadran Dekani 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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