EM Mahdia 2-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia saw off SA Menzel Bourguiba 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; EM Mahdia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

EM Mahdia 2-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 39%, draw 33%, SA Menzel Bourguiba 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
3 Nov 2024
16:30 Megrine vs Hammam-Sousse Analysis →