Sunderland 1-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Nov 2025

Sunderland
1-1 HT 0-1
Everton
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sunderland vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 36% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.91
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.32
X/2
9%
5.02
X/X
19%
3.8
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.44
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.7pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.01/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
+39% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.8 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sunderland vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Everton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.59 xG 1.78
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
208 Passes 516
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.09.2017 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNLK
25.02.2017 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
12.09.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-3 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
11.05.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 3-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
01.11.2015 Everton Everton 6-2 HT 2-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
09.05.2015 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP

Sunderland 1-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-1
AWAY Everton
1.22 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
449 Passes 267
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Everton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 35% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland had 61% of the ball to Everton's 39%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.22 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sunderland and 2.33 for Everton.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Everton?

Sunderland 1-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 29%, draw 35%, Everton 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Everton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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