Alcione 2-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
0.72/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Alcione İTCK
06.04.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcione İTC
24.11.2024 Alcione 2-0 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
2-0
AWAY Pro Patria
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione got the better of Pro Patria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alcione as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alcione had 39% of the ball to Pro Patria's 61%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcione had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcione and 0.33 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Pro Patria?

Alcione 2-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alcione 44%, draw 27%, Pro Patria 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcione), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcione) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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