Dordrecht 0-1 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.30/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.5 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Almere City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.23 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
285 Passes 383
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
13.11.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-1 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.07.2022 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HAZ
04.02.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
24.09.2021 Almere City Almere City 2-2 HT 1-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.01.2021 Almere City Almere City 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
0-1
AWAY Almere City
1.41 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
284 Passes 207
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City edged past Dordrecht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 58% of the ball to Almere City's 42%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 1.41 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dordrecht and 1.83 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Almere City?

Dordrecht 0-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 41%, draw 24%, Almere City 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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