Sfax Railways 3-4 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 3 Nov 2025

Sfax Railways
3-4 HT 2-0
EM Mahdia
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
56%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sfax Railways v EM Mahdia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.20/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.19
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +16%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Sfax Railways 3-4 EM Mahdia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sfax Railways
3-4
AWAY EM Mahdia
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 10
POST-MATCH Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia nicked a narrow win over Sfax Railways 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sfax Railways at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sfax Railways had 64% of the ball to EM Mahdia's 36%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Sfax Railways 3-4 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sfax Railways vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sfax Railways 60%, draw 25%, EM Mahdia 15%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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